According to a recent survey conducted by Cygnal, an award-winning polling and analytics firm, Madison County Commission chairman Dale Strong holds a firm lead in the race for Alabama’s open fifth congressional district seat.
The poll shows Strong leading former Huntsville City Schools superintendent Casey Wardynski 45.7% to 30.6%, with 23.7% of surveyed voters being undecided.
The survey, which was conducted June 5-6, consisted of 400 likely Republican primary runoff voters and holds a plus or minus 4.89% margin of error. Participants responded to the survey via interactive voice response and text messages.
According to the polling memo, which was first obtained by Yellowhammer News, Strong is in a “dominant position” to emerge as the victor in the June 21 runoff election. The Cygnal poll shows that one-third of the survey’s participants hold an unfavorable view of Wardynski, with the candidate holding +9 net favorability.
According to the memo, Strong is most favorable with voters aged 55-69, Madison County residents and very conservative voters.
Wardynski, who polls best among high propensity voters, is running close with his opponent among seniors and extremely conservative voters.
In the May 24 primary contest, Strong was the top vote-getter as he garnered 44.74% of all votes cast, while Wardynski came in second with 23.04%.
Economic developer John Roberts came in third with 13.29% of the vote, followed by former State Sen. Paul Sanford coming at 11.42%. Huntsville City Schools teacher Andy Blalock and conservative activist Harrison Wright received 5.52% and 1.49% of the vote, respectively.
Voters will decide between Strong and Wardynski in the primary runoff election on June 21. The winner of the runoff will then go up against Democratic candidate Kathy Warner-Stanton in the general election November 8.
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